MSAR TRADING MODEL Return on investment that has averaged 25.5%, CAGR,  over the last nine years (5/1997 to 8/2006)...and                 "without leverage"!         <skip to chart>   THE Nasdaq Composite Index chart in the graphic window below shows the actual buy signals (green arrows) and sell signals (red arrows), developed by PTR's proprietary MSAR trading model (Modified Stop And Reverse). The small spreadsheets below the upper chart shows the approximate results obtained by this model over the last 46 month period...between 10/10/2002 and 8/21/2006.   NOTE THAT: these returns are base on "NO LEVERAGE" what so ever, and could easily be enhanced 1.5x to 2x just by using the full margin in a standard trading account.   NOTE ALSO THAT: While using the MSAR signal from CMPX but by trading in QQQQ options, the return "should be" materially higher, eventhough, we can not support that with actual evidence because we are conservative traders and do not use leverage.   Besides, at the money options do not necessarily reflect the true value of the underlying security, or index, at all points in time, and the actual return could vary widely.      These signals are just one small part of the service we provide to our subscribers, and for more information relating to this model just scroll down to the text window below the graphic.                                 <Go Back?>

For more information about our Professional Stock and Bond Market Forecasting Service, just click here: <Price-Time Review Home Page> TO VIEW PTR's actual PROFOLIO results for FY-2005, as delivered to investors and subscribers on 1/6/2006, click here:   <MSAR Results 2005> WHILE this MSAR trading model "may" work on any "highly volatile" stock, stock index, or stock index proxy, at PTR we only use it to trade in the Nasdaq Composite Index via the NDX's proxy, QQQQ, since this index has proven to produce exceptional gains when back tested to it's 1/1984 low.* At the bottom of this graphic are two small spreadsheet sections that calculate the approximate gains for this model over the period from 10/10/2002 to 8/18/2006.   The upper spreadsheet shows a gain of "about" 129% for traders who only BUY on the long signals and sell to cover (cash) on the short signals, while the lower spreadsheet shows a gain of "about" 204%, during the same 46 month period, for the more aggressive traders who buy long on the buy signals and then cover that position and go fully short on the sell signals.   NOTE*:  This model was backtest using the Nasdaq Composite Index (CMPX) to only 1984, since that is all of the full daily data I have for this index...with volume.   In addition, to make this back test I had to construct a model of the NDX and QQQQ, prior to 1997, by using the fixed ratios of 40:1 between NDx and QQQQ and 50:40 between NDx and the actual data for the Nasdaq Composite Index, CMPX. Also note that the simplified spreadsheets shown here do not consider the cost of commissions, so anyone using a full service, and full cost, broker would have lower profits, and maybe even significantly lower profits. NOTE THAT AS OF 12/2006:  Since we no longer keep up on this model on a "every week" basis --usually going 1-4 weeks as needed-- for those "subscribers" who would like to use this model in their QQQQ or Nasdaq trading THEN please just email PTR and ask for the software information. Just keep in mind that you will need to download, install, and set up the free software <Wall Street Analyzer> , or program the MSAR code into your existing trading platform, AND download the data for the Nasdaq Composite Index yourself...on a daily, weekly, or as you need it basis. In our opinion, this model should be part of every QQQQ trader's box of tools.  BB

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