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PTR's WideAngle Spectrum Analysis (tm) of
the U.S. 5 year T-Note "rate" from 1962-9/20/06
Page 2 of 3 (Spectrum 1 of 2)
9/21/2006
This
page and the graphic in it's window below are part 1 of 3 of PTR's Spectrum
and Cyclical Analysis that we used to confirm or refute the "moderately
well defined" 5 year cycle located in the U.S.'s 5Y T-notes daily chart data
by our Visual Elliptical Fitting Method (VEFM).
<Page 3 of 3 for 5Y T-Note rate. Sine Regression fit 9/20/06>
<Page 1 of 3 for 5Y T-Note rate. PTR's Visual Fitting
9/18/06>
While these charts and data output GRAPHS may be a bit
complex for some subscribers, or potential subscribers, who are not technically
or mathematically inclined, if you take the time to just do a good overview
I believe it will help you understand that we do not arrive at our "stock
or bond cycles" without due diligence and some scientific or statistical
support.
OF COURSE, there is no guarantee that past history will always
be repeated in the future, especially, since the FED manipulator is now playing
insurance company for any and all foreign investors.
Any remaining comments pertaining to this analysis are either
on the graphic itself, or posted in the text box below it.
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MORE COMMENTS
(IF ANY)
9/21/06: Note that
only the daily closing values were used, from 1/1962 to 9/18/06, and this
raw data was "detrended" by the subtraction of a 10th degree polynomial
regression curve of the data from the raw a data itself...which is shown
as the upper chart.
The analysis on this page, 2 of 3, was done using DPLOT (tm), and it
was checking by an parallel analysis on page 3 that uses ORIGIN PRO
(tm).
BY THE
WAY, do not forget to view the VISUAL ELLIPTICAL FITTING ANALYSIS,
page 1 of 3
, since it shows that the peaks and troughs (lows) from this cycle are
NOT symmetrical nor perfectly reoccurring ...as is the case with most market
cycles.
BB
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For The Price-Time
Review
Andrew Quiggly and Ben Bonfoey
Co-Editors
All content is copyright(2006)
PriceTime LLC
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